Impact

An expanded, employment-ready mid-level workforce in rural and urban areas, including both men and women

Against a 2010 baseline:

 A 30% increase in employees in the formal labor force holding formal TVET qualifications by 2020

Increased employer satisfaction with the knowledge, skills and attitudes of employees holding new, formal TVET qualifications by 2020

 Series of labor force studies disaggregated by qualification, gender, rural/urban area

 Series of employer satisfaction surveys

Assumption

Within 2–3 years, the economy recovers from the current downturn, resulting in FDI, local investment and GDP growth returning to 2007/2008 levels

 Risks
Persistent economic downturn causes low demand for skilled labor

Continuing poor recognition of the productive value of skilled labor in wage differentials in most economic sectors

Outcome

An expanded, enterprise-endorsed public training system better aligned with the basic and mid-level skills requirements of the formal and informal economies in three industry sectors (mechanics, construction, and business services and information and communication technologies)

Against a 2010 baseline:

A 20% increase in enrollments in certificate and diploma programs in the three industry sectors in public institutions by 2015, from an estimated baseline of 980

A 25% increase in the number of graduates with formal TVET qualifications from public institutions by 2015, from an estimated baseline of 1,500

A 20% increase in the number of women graduating from formal TVET courses in polytechnics, institutes, and RTCs by 2015, from an estimated baseline of 300)

Enrollments in nonformal VSTP programs quadruple by 2015, from 53,000 in 2007/08, and 50% of participants are women

40% of VSTP training (in terms of training hours) is through enterprise- and center-based training by 2015

40% of graduates from VSTP enterprise- and center-based training are in relevant full-time employment or self-employment by 2015

 Gender dis-aggregated enrollment data from public institutions

 
Gender- disaggregated graduation data from all VSTP programs

Tracer studies of VSTP graduates 

Assumption

Government policy and budgets continue to give high priority to better employment outcomes for both rural and urban youth and the poor, through strategic investments and other support for basic and mid-level skill formation  

Risks

TVET training and careers are undervalued in the population at large

Industry cooperation and collaboration in the development of national standards and qualifications is not forthcoming.

Outputs

1. Formal programs that are more relevant to industry

Against a 2010 baseline:

30% increase in the number of students entering certificate programs (grade 9+) by 2015

 
Five upgraded RTCs established by 2015a

 
Three industry advisory groups established and operational by end 2010

Industry advisory groups endorse skills standards for the three sectors by mid-2011

Women make up 25% of industry advisory group membership

Skills standards and skills-based training modules developed through industry-led process for certificate programs by 2012

Coordinated system of professional support established to improve instructor training by 2012

300 TVET instructors graduate each year from NTTI from 2011

All instructors in the three sectors meet technical and pedagogical requirements by 2015

Institutional records of competency reporting by qualification, module, year, gender, and instructor(s)

Compliance reports against agreed building and equipment standards

Records of establishment and membership

Statement of endorsement

Records of certification

M&E reports

 


Training records and records of certification

Assumption

Industry recognition of the improved quality of graduates results in better employment outcomes, which raises participation in quality TVET programs

2.  Expanded and better quality nonformal training

VSTP extended to all provinces by 2015 with new operating guidelines

Skills standards and skills-based training modules developed through an industry-led process for enterprise- and center-based programs

New courses, curricula and standards to systematize nonformal training introduced by end 2013

210,000 participants have completed VSTP training by 2015

An additional 12% (600) have graduated from non-VSTP courses in PTCs (from 2008 baseline of 5,000)

40% of VSTP training is enterprise- or center-based

80% of all trainees in enterprise- or center-based training in the three industry sectors will earn a new certificate of competency

Two new PTCs have been constructed by end 2011

PTC performance improved through better program planning and management, better financial management and data recording, increased community outreach, and more revenue generation by 2015b

All PTC instructors have completed the new teacher in-service training program by 2015c

PTC training records Revised guidelines

NTTI records

PTC enrollment data and records of award of certification.

PTC enrollment data and records of award of certification

Certificates of completion issued

PTC quarterly progress reports

NTTI records

Assumption

Continuing development of the rural economy, e.g., through demand for increased productivity or through new investments in post harvest technology and small to medium-scale food processing will raise demand for more complex skill sets

Risk

Increases in productivity through capital investment in equipment and machinery lead to reduced on- and off-farm employment

3.  Institutional capacity to plan and manage TVET is     strengthened 

Policy and road map for future development of TVET system agreed by MOLVT and NTB

New medium-term TVET development plan developed by end 2010

Draft medium-term expenditure framework (2011–2015) developed for TVET by end 2010

Annual TVET operational plans, including specific annual targets and indicators developed for 2010–2014 along with annual performance reports

Computerized VETMIS designed and installed across all sites by module according to a specified schedule.

LMIS established by 2014

NVQF constructed and approved by NTB by 2015

DGTVET has implemented procedures for guiding and monitoring PTCs and RTCs by 2012.

All female mid-level DGTVET officers will be selected for training

30% of provincial MOLVT staff selected for regional training will be women

NTB minutes

Plan published on schedule

Plan published on schedule

Published annual plans and performance reports on schedule

VETMIS data reports by module can be generated at all sites

LMIS data reports as specified generated at all required sites

Sub-decree on NVQF signed by Prime Minister

DGTVET reports of monitoring visits

Risks

Industry cooperation and collaboration in the development of national standards and qualifications is minimal, if at all

Proposed decentralization is not matched with clear delegations of authority, thereby creating confusion in roles and responsibilities